The Palermo 
          Stone of the 5th Dynasty (from about 2400 BC.) is the only major document 
          which originates from the period preceding the 12th Dynasty, but it 
          is only a fragment of a large slab. A fragmented papyrus of the 19th 
          Dynasty (about 1300 BC.), known as the Turin Royal Canon, gives a complete 
          list of the kings of Dynasties I-VIII, which seem to cover a period 
          of about 955 years.
        The important 
          point is that none of these documents can by themselves provide any 
          absolute dates for early Egyptian history since they are not linked 
          to our modern era of dating or to any other system which can be connected 
          to our system.
        The use 
          of astronomical calculations to decipher references to this Sothic cycle 
          in ancient Egyptian records forms the foundation of all ancient chronology. 
          Censorinus says:
        "The 
          moon is not relevant to the "great year" of the Egyptians 
          which we call the "Year of the Dog" in Greek and the "Year 
          of the Little-Dog" in Latin, because it begins when the constellation 
          or star "Little-Dog" [allegedly the modern Canis Major or 
          Sirius] rises on the first day of the month which the Egyptians call 
          "Thouth". For their civil year has only 365 days without 
          any intercalation. Thus a quadrennium among them is about one day shorter 
          than the natural quadrennium, thus it is 1461 years before this "year" 
          returns to the same beginning point. This "year" is called 
          "heliacal" by some and "the divine year" by others." 
          (Censorinus, De Die Natali, ch. 18, my translation)
        Censorinus' 
          statement certainly is not exhaustive. It gives us little information 
          about how this "great year" was used or when it came into 
          use. It is certainly open to debate how applicable this description 
          of the Egyptian calendar and astronomy is to the 2 nd and 3 rd millennia 
          BC. It does not address the issue of changes in the nature of the 
          Egyptian calendar which may have occurred over the millennia. We have 
          no definite proof that the Egyptians were aware of dating long eras 
          by the Sothic cycle in the 2 nd millennium BC. Even if we grant that 
          they did, we have no certain knowledge of the date when any Sothic cycle 
          began.
        Most historians 
          presently accept the claim that Censorinus places the beginning of a 
          Sothic cycle in about 140 AD and by extension in 1320 BC, 2780 BC and 
          perhaps 4240 B.C. Censorinus says:
        "As 
          among us so also among the Egyptians a number of "eras" are 
          referred to in their literature, such as that which they call "of 
          Nabonnasar" which began from the first year of his reign, which 
          was 986 years ago. Another is called "of Philip" which is 
          counted from the death of Alexander the Great which was 562 years ago. 
          But the beginning of these is always from the first day of the month 
          which the Egyptians call Thoth, which this year fell on the 7 th day 
          before the Calends of July [June 25], 100 years ago when Emperor Antoninus 
          Pius was consul for the second time, and Bruttius Praesens was the other 
          consul, the same day fell on the 12 th [corrected to the 13 th ] day 
          before the Calends of August [July 21, corrected to July 20] at which 
          time the "Little-Dog" usually rises in Egypt. Therefore it 
          is possible to know that of that great year, which as I wrote above 
          is called "solar" or "of the Little-Dog" or the 
          "divine year," now the hundredth year has passed. I have 
          noted the beginnings of these years lest anyone think that they begin 
          from January 1 or some other time, since the starting points chosen 
          by the originators of these years are no less diverse than the opinions 
          of philosophers. For that reason the natural year is said to begin 
          by some at the new sun, that is the winter solstice, by others at 
          the summer solstice, by others at the vernal equinox and by others at 
          the autumnal equinox, by some at the rising of the Pleides and by some 
          at their setting, by many at the rising of "the Dog." (Censorinus, 
          Ch. 21, My translation)."
        Again 
          it is noteworthy how little Censorinus actually says and how much is 
          deduced from his statement. Censorinus is writing not to establish 
          a system of chronology, but to discuss various dates for New Years Day 
          in different cultures. He gives no specific date as the starting point 
          for a Sothic Cycle as he does for the other eras which he mentions. 
          All he does is give the date of the Julian calendar on which the first 
          of Thoth fell in the year of his writing, which is well established 
          as 238 or 239 AD., and one hundred years earlier in 139 AD. In 238 
          AD the first of Thoth fell on about June 25 Julian. One hundred years 
          earlier it fell on about July 20, which is the date The Little-Dog (supposedly 
          Sothis) usually rises in Egypt. He seems to be referring to a conventional 
          method of dating more than to an actual observation of the rising of 
          Sothis on that date.
        As noted 
          in the translation above, a textual correction of one day is necessary 
          to get the rising of Sirius onto the correct calculated date. Censorinus, 
          makes no direct statement that a new Sothic cycle began then, but his 
          statement about the passage of one hundred years of the great year and 
          his indirect reference to the rising of Sothis are interpreted as indications 
          that a new Sothic cycle began in about 139 AD. It is argued that some 
          coins of 139 AD also suggest that a new Sothic cycle began then.
        Theon, 
          another late classical writer, explicitly states that a Sothic cycle 
          began in 26 BC. Now this period of 1460 years, commenced from a certain 
          time, terminated in the 5th year of the reign of Augustus so, from the 
          last epoch, the Egyptians begin all over again to find themselves every 
          year one quarter of a day in advance.
        Al Biruni 
          an Arab chronologist (973-1048), supports Theon. It was Augustus who 
          caused the people of Alexandria to give up their system of reckoning 
          by non-intercalated Egyptian years, and to adopt the system of the Chaldeans, 
          which in our time is used in Egypt. He did this in the sixth year of 
          his reign; therefore, they took this year as the epoch of this era. 
          Augustus wanted the Egyptians to intercalate the years, that they might 
          always agree with the Greeks and the people of Alexandria. Into this 
          subject, however, it would be necessary to inquire more closely. At 
          that time precisely five years were wanting till the end of the great 
          intercalation period. Therefore, he waited till five years of his rule 
          had elapsed, and then he ordered people to intercalate one day in the 
          months in every fourth year, in the same way as the Greeks do. Thereupon 
          they dropped the use of the names of the single days, because, as people 
          say, those who used and knew them would have been required to invent 
          a name for the intercalary day.
        If Theon 
          rather than Censorinus is correct, the chronology of early Egypt is 
          off by 165 years.
        Among 
          recent astronomers the same divergencies exist. Lockyer rejected the 
          Censorinus date and placed the beginning of Sothic cycles in 270 BC, 
          1728 BC and 3192 BC. He bases his conclusions on the premise that Censorinus 
          was in error because he failed to take into account calendric reforms 
          which Lockyer believed might have occurred about 600 BC. If Lockyer's 
          theory were correct Egyptian history would be misdated by over 400 years. 
          Other pioneers of the field, such as Boit, had still different dates.
        Lockyer's 
          theory does not seem to be acceptable, because he calculates the move 
          of Sothis through the fixed year in the opposite direction from all 
          other authorities. However, Lockyer does introduce an additional Sothic 
          date which has a bearing on the Censorinus/Theon controversy. According 
          to an inscription found at Philae, which can be dated to about 122 BC 
          the rising of Sirius was 37 days away from Thoth 1. Since Sirius moves 
          one day every four years, it would take about 148 years for the rising 
          of Sirius to arrive on Thoth 1. Lockyer counts in the wrong direction 
          (122+148 = 270 B.C.). However, if we go in the standard direction (148-122= 
          26 AD.), we get the same date specified by Theon, and thus we have support 
          for Theon versus Censorinus.
        Besides 
          lack of agreement of the time when a Sothic cycle began, this theory 
          also faces other uncertainties. It is not certain how long a Sothic 
          cycle lasts since there are other astronomic variables involved besides 
          the precise length of the solar year. Calculations of the Sothic cycle 
          have ranged from 1423 to 1506 years.
        We do 
          not know for sure with which star or constellation Sothis should be 
          identified for all periods of Egyptian history. It is generally accepted 
          that Sothis is the star which we call Sirius, although none of the sources 
          gave any evidence for this from before classical times. Porphry in 
          De Antro Nym harum says, "Near Cancer is Sothis 
          which the Greeks call the Dog." Solinus Polyhistor 
          says that this star rises between July 19-21.
        In Chapter 
          21 of his work, concerning Isis and Osiris, Plutarch says, "The 
          soul of Isis is called `Dog' by the Greeks and the soul of Horus is 
          called Orion." Since Sothis is identified with Isis in other 
          Egyptian texts, and Sirius is called the Dog in Greek, we conclude that 
          Sothis is the star which we-call Sirius. However there are a number 
          of difficulties. At least the second half of Plutarch's statement appears 
          to be in error, because Orion is usually associated with Osiris not 
          Horus. According to some Egyptologists Egyptian astronomical names 
          did not always remain attached to the same celestial object. Osiris 
          was first associated with Venus; later Osiris was associated with Jupiter. 
          The planet Venus, which was first identified with Osiris, was later 
          identified with Isis. Sometimes "right eye" is a title of 
          Isis-Hathor, sometimes it is a title of the sun.
        Plutarch 
          also identifies Osiris with the constellation which the Greeks call 
          Argo. The hieroglyphic triangle which represents Sothis also appears 
          to represent the zodiacal light, and the Egyptians apparently knew both 
          an Isis-Sothis and a Horus-Sothis. The term wp rnpt which refers 
          to the rising of Sothis, also refers to the beginning of the civil year 
          and the birthday of the king. Even the Greek word "Sirius" 
          is not always attached to the same celestial object. Similar shifts 
          and uncertainties apply to the identification of ancient astronomical 
          names in general, for example, the constellations in Job.
        According 
          to the English astronomer Poole, Sirius was not on the horizon coincident 
          with the rising of the sun on the Egyptian New Year's Day in 140 BC, 
          the date specified by Censorinus and those who follow him. Macnaughton 
          set up a chronology based on the supposition that Sothis was Spica, 
          not Sirius, as a way around this difficulty. Canopus and Venus are 
          other candidates that have been suggested, perhaps less plausibly. 
          Kenneth Brecher has revived the doubts about identifying the bright 
          star referred to in records as Sothis/the Dog/Sirius with the star we 
          call Sirius today. Babylonian and Roman sources as late as Ptolemy 
          all call "Sirius" a red star. Seneca says it is redder than 
          Mars. In his star catalog Ptolemy refers to the bright red star in 
          the face of the Dog. He links Sirius with red stars like Aldebaran 
          and Arcturus.
        The star 
          which we presently call Sirius is not a red star. No theory of stellar 
          evolution offers any explanation for how a red star could become white 
          in 2000 years, although much speculation has centered around possible 
          changes in the companion star which is part of Sirius. There is a flaw 
          either in our identification of Sothis as our Sirius, in the ancients' 
          observations, in our translation of their texts, or in present theories 
          of stellar evolution, which must be based more on computer analysis 
          than on observation.
        One explanation 
          which has been offered is that the red color refers to the star only 
          as observed in heliacal rising near the horizon. Perhaps "red" 
          simply means "bright" or "beautiful" as it does 
          in Akkadian or Russian. At any rate, we can say that there is at 
          least some question about the identification of Sothis as our star Sirius, 
          and a thorough re-study of the pertinent Egyptian and Greek astronomical 
          terms would be valuable. Furthermore, the whole concept of dating 
          by reference to the Sothic cycle is only tenable if we assume that there 
          were no revisions of the Egyptian calendar between the Hellenistic age 
          and the time of the Twelfth Dynasty, or that we have an accurate knowledge 
          of any such changes that did occur. Such changes are especially possible 
          in the Hyksos period when foreigners controlled Egypt. Two notes 
          in Manetho's king lists say that two different Hyksos kings introduced 
          changes from 360 day calendars to 365 day calendars in the time following 
          the Twelfth Dynasty. Since there is evidence that a 365 year calendar 
          was in use already in the 5th Dynasty, it is possible that the Hyksos 
          introduced their own calendar when they took control of Egypt, but then 
          returned to the superior Egyptian calendar. [Brug, John, Ph.D.; 
          The Astronomical Dating of Ancient History before 700 AD., 1988]